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Jan 17, 2013
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you've got a slowdown in the global economy. do you still think we're going to see money moving into equities despite some of these challenges knowing that that's exactly what we saw at year end anyway? do you think that it continues? >> well, there's no question. unfortunately, there's continued uncertainty around washington and the actions of washington. i don't believe that we're going to see a continued slowdown in the global economy though. you know, the movement, what you're seeing in japan and the japanese stock market starting to reflect that, you're -- you know, you have the japanese government trying to really reboot that economy. you're seeing the chinese government and the new leadership trying to reboot their economy, so, if any, you're going to see probably an accelerated economy n.parts of the world i still think we'll have structural problems in europe and all the uncertainty about the united states so i don't believe it's going to be as bad as it sounds. the u.s. certainly may, but i actually think what's going
you've got a slowdown in the global economy. do you still think we're going to see money moving into equities despite some of these challenges knowing that that's exactly what we saw at year end anyway? do you think that it continues? >> well, there's no question. unfortunately, there's continued uncertainty around washington and the actions of washington. i don't believe that we're going to see a continued slowdown in the global economy though. you know, the movement, what you're seeing...
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Jan 14, 2013
01/13
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and what is its impact on the economy and productivity. joining me now is hudson institute senior fellow and former health and human services. nice to have you back. do we have a gauge as to how much this flu will cost the busy con my in businesses? >> unfortunately costing businesses about $10.4 billion. that is real cash it will cost businesses. on the other hand, while businesses need to get work done, they need to be careful not to force people to come to work, spread it, and make it worse. >> a lot of people want it hang on to their jobs. the economy is recovering but we are not back to the best employment yet. a lot of employees feel they have to come in no matter what. >> the truth is, you learned all the things you need to learn in kindergarten. wash your hands well, cough into your sleeve. if you're sick, don't go to sleeve or work. it does put people into a bind and we know it is a tough situation. >> this flu seemed to come earlier than in the past. is that the case? >> we're not sure it is that much worse than other flu seasons
and what is its impact on the economy and productivity. joining me now is hudson institute senior fellow and former health and human services. nice to have you back. do we have a gauge as to how much this flu will cost the busy con my in businesses? >> unfortunately costing businesses about $10.4 billion. that is real cash it will cost businesses. on the other hand, while businesses need to get work done, they need to be careful not to force people to come to work, spread it, and make it...
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Jan 14, 2013
01/13
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yet the economy is -- the real economy is trading somewhat off its highs. if you look at europe, for example, where the headlines have been negative. the news flow has been awful. performance has been awful as well. so the market in europe has more reflected the performance of the real economy than it has here in the u.s. the fed qe program, the safe haven of the u.s. has caused money to flow to this part of the world. i think that leaves the u.s. a little pricier and perhaps more of a risk. >> it takes courage to fight the fed, though, right? >> absolutely. but ultimately and jack said it, fundamentals do matter. i think the market will reflect those. >> i heard active management does better in down markets than the index. they do better in the up markets. >> no question about it. and if you looked at the '08 to first quarter of '09 period, many people left them, haven't come back. god forbid we have another experience like that. then you'll see the index funds have a hard time recapturing the momentum. >> you see a blend of active and passive? >> i think
yet the economy is -- the real economy is trading somewhat off its highs. if you look at europe, for example, where the headlines have been negative. the news flow has been awful. performance has been awful as well. so the market in europe has more reflected the performance of the real economy than it has here in the u.s. the fed qe program, the safe haven of the u.s. has caused money to flow to this part of the world. i think that leaves the u.s. a little pricier and perhaps more of a risk....
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Jan 16, 2013
01/13
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grow the economy by bringing in some certainty to it. if he wants to fight hard for tax rate increases, he ought to be fighting just as hard for spending cuts. >> you know, governor, he made an interesting point during his news conference this week where he said if -- if this debate is just about reducing the fiscal deficit, he's on board and let's get it done, but he suspects that there are a lot of conservative republicans out there for whom this debate is about the bigger picture of the role the federal government plays in americans' lives, and he said that's not a debate he wants to have. he doesn't want to be cutting entitlement programs just because conservatives want to reduce the role of government in americans' lives. is it possible we're having two simultaneous debates at once here? >> well, he's got to reconcile the differences. almost like saying i know i'm overweight but don't ask me to go on a diet. i mean, there's got to be efficiencies found in the federal government. the fact that we're cutting spending doesn't mean that
grow the economy by bringing in some certainty to it. if he wants to fight hard for tax rate increases, he ought to be fighting just as hard for spending cuts. >> you know, governor, he made an interesting point during his news conference this week where he said if -- if this debate is just about reducing the fiscal deficit, he's on board and let's get it done, but he suspects that there are a lot of conservative republicans out there for whom this debate is about the bigger picture of...
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Jan 17, 2013
01/13
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the economy is morrow less back on track. we think there would be more proactive fiscal policies to come action but most of those announcements will come likely in march. >> the new government has made several nods towards urbanization, so we've seen material stocks go higher. investors like to think of china in the growth sector. is that where you see some of the best opportunities at this point? >> we do see a lot of those sectors did run up after the urbanization push and all of the news media coverage around it. we see more details on the exact urbanization probably in march or april, but at this point i think there's numerous ways to go. the obvious interpretation is more infrastructure investment, but other than the, premier to be has been very focused on the social safety net issues as well, saying he needs to migrate more people into the urban areas. you need to provide better health care and better social housing, so don'tunder estimate what we might see. >> another long-term issue is basic manufacturing is starting
the economy is morrow less back on track. we think there would be more proactive fiscal policies to come action but most of those announcements will come likely in march. >> the new government has made several nods towards urbanization, so we've seen material stocks go higher. investors like to think of china in the growth sector. is that where you see some of the best opportunities at this point? >> we do see a lot of those sectors did run up after the urbanization push and all of...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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the fed is spending 6% more m-2 every year and that's helping the economy. but the real driver of growth is technology. it's the entrepreneur. it's the innovator. it's the creator. we have the cloud, the spark phone, attacking all of these great new technologies and that's what i try to draw investors' focus on. let's not pay so much attention to what government is doing. let's look at what is causing growth underneath, what has always caused growth and that's entrepreneurial activity, innovation, and activity. we have a lot of it going on right now. >> finally, brian, housing is turning into a pretty nice tail wind here. i wonder, though, you see the ten-year at 285. >> right. >> how much can the market withstand if the 30-year mortgage continues to tick up? >> when we go back to the early 1990s when housing was pretty strong, interest rates were a lot higher than they were today. i think the fed is artificially holding rates down. we could have the federal funds rate at 2, 2 1/2 without any harm to the economy. we could take the ten-year treasury up to 3,
the fed is spending 6% more m-2 every year and that's helping the economy. but the real driver of growth is technology. it's the entrepreneur. it's the innovator. it's the creator. we have the cloud, the spark phone, attacking all of these great new technologies and that's what i try to draw investors' focus on. let's not pay so much attention to what government is doing. let's look at what is causing growth underneath, what has always caused growth and that's entrepreneurial activity,...
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Jan 14, 2013
01/13
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it would be a self-inflicted wound on the economy. it would slow down our growth, might tip us into recession, and ironically, would probably increase our deficit. so even entertain the idea of this happening, of the united states of america not paying its bills, is irresponsible. it's absurd. as the speaker said two years ago, it would be, and i'm quoting, speaker boehner now, a finance ral disaster not only for us but for the worldwide economy. so we've got to pay our bills. and republicans in congress have two choices here. they can act responsibly and pay america's bills, or they can act irresponsibly and put america through another economic crisis. but they will not collect a ransom in exchange for not crashing the american economy. the financial well-being of the american people is not leverage to be used. the full faith and credit of the united states of america is not a bargaining chip. and they better choose quickly because time is running short. the last time republicans in congress even flirted with this idea our aaa credit
it would be a self-inflicted wound on the economy. it would slow down our growth, might tip us into recession, and ironically, would probably increase our deficit. so even entertain the idea of this happening, of the united states of america not paying its bills, is irresponsible. it's absurd. as the speaker said two years ago, it would be, and i'm quoting, speaker boehner now, a finance ral disaster not only for us but for the worldwide economy. so we've got to pay our bills. and republicans...
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Jan 18, 2013
01/13
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so our economy is robust. the oil and gas sector has been doing great. car sales have been doing great. we never had a sub prime problem. so housing starts are back up again to about 75,000 single family permits issued. the main thing is capital will flee a hostile environment. if i were a risk taking entrepreneur in california i would be thinking about heading east to texas. >> i feel a bit dumb because i had no idea of the export power of texas. i probably would have picked california. we'll show a table and what this table says is texas 2011 exports, $251 billion in second place california at $159 billion. that is very impressive. hears what i like the most. go to the next table. it is easy. when i first heard it i said it's obvious because california doesn't maximize natural resources because of the green component. has such a large lobby and presence in california. even if you extract all the exports petroleum and coal products that still leaves you around 200 billion. you're still blowing the competition away. >> yep. isn't that nice? we also have
so our economy is robust. the oil and gas sector has been doing great. car sales have been doing great. we never had a sub prime problem. so housing starts are back up again to about 75,000 single family permits issued. the main thing is capital will flee a hostile environment. if i were a risk taking entrepreneur in california i would be thinking about heading east to texas. >> i feel a bit dumb because i had no idea of the export power of texas. i probably would have picked california....
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Jan 16, 2013
01/13
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the economy will be picking up. housing likely to get in on it. >> maybe we're actually breaking -- maybe the valuations aren't -- >> based on what? >> come on, under wells fargo? >> michael dell, and suddenly, mr. skeptic -- >> overheated debt market, that's always a good sign for an economy. that's always a sign that things are getting a lot better. >> it's been getting overheated since 1979. >> big lbos. that worked out real well. no, i'm just -- there's housing, sales of pickups. sales of cars in europe for 2012, not so good. we'll talk about that. >> germany, the bmw sales, volkswagen sales. one of my cousins in mexico is near a bmw, new plant. the germans are down. they're buying like crazy. germany business, good. rest of the continent okay. ford cutting back very dramatically. >> boeing, more problems related to the dreamliner. japanese grounded their 787 for safety checks. the national transportation safety board, faa are going to japan to assess that incident. when the first problems arose last week, week
the economy will be picking up. housing likely to get in on it. >> maybe we're actually breaking -- maybe the valuations aren't -- >> based on what? >> come on, under wells fargo? >> michael dell, and suddenly, mr. skeptic -- >> overheated debt market, that's always a good sign for an economy. that's always a sign that things are getting a lot better. >> it's been getting overheated since 1979. >> big lbos. that worked out real well. no, i'm just --...
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Jan 18, 2013
01/13
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economy is recovering. the u.s. consumer has delevered, has got more confidence in the system. we're past the election. the u.s. economy is recovering. that's unmistakable. the speed of it still remains to be determined. but we're recovering. china leadership happened. china will support the growth in that economy and they will drive domestic demand. europe is not getting worse. and there are signs of green shoots even in japan at this point. >> all right. >> and then you've got all the brazil and indonesia which are still exciting stories. i feel good about where the world is heading. is it on a bull streak? no. but is it on a firmer footing? yes. as a long-term investor i care about firm footing. >> some day we will go through 15,000 on the dow, and then 16,000. and then 17,000. >> yeah. >> i mean i just wonder is that within the next couple of years? i mean it's about time. it's been -- we went from 800 to 14,000. and we haven't moved from 14,000 in like 10, 12 years. >> my father always says a journey of a thous
economy is recovering. the u.s. consumer has delevered, has got more confidence in the system. we're past the election. the u.s. economy is recovering. that's unmistakable. the speed of it still remains to be determined. but we're recovering. china leadership happened. china will support the growth in that economy and they will drive domestic demand. europe is not getting worse. and there are signs of green shoots even in japan at this point. >> all right. >> and then you've got all...
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Jan 20, 2013
01/13
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do you see any evidence of a better economy? >> you know, that is a really good question because it has affected the salaries a bit, i think. >> the requests people are making for how much money? >> how much they are willing to pay to get a job done. last time i was here i mentioned some of our top taskrabbits are cashing out up to $5,000 a month. looking at the numbers yesterday, we had some taskrabbits cashing up to $10,000 a month. >> are you seeing people who are just using taskrabbit to make their income total? >> we are. we have some folks that had full-time jobs, full-time work that started doing taskrabbit because they were unemployed or underemployed going through this time of recession and decided to remain there and build up their own businesses what got me really excited watching that happen, it's like we are creating these micro entrepreneurs and give them these platforms to build out their own businesses. >> we heard recently about the effect of technology on the pace of the recovery in terms of employment. are you
do you see any evidence of a better economy? >> you know, that is a really good question because it has affected the salaries a bit, i think. >> the requests people are making for how much money? >> how much they are willing to pay to get a job done. last time i was here i mentioned some of our top taskrabbits are cashing out up to $5,000 a month. looking at the numbers yesterday, we had some taskrabbits cashing up to $10,000 a month. >> are you seeing people who are...
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Jan 14, 2013
01/13
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>> it has to do a little bit with global economy. the problem is they are running out of rich people who can afford this phone globally. they got the market dominated. disposable income. what happens they have the u.s. market locked up. there is a lot of competition from samsung phones, but the other part of the globe is emerging markets. they are not laying out $700 for a phone through the plan like you do in america. european people can afford these phones but there is not going to be a lot of growth. asian countries, they will take a knockoff if it is cheaper. you have seen recently apple launch the mini. it's cheaper than the ipad. there is a rumor they may launch a hundred dollar phone, but for china markets. >> neil: kim, is this going beyond apple or what do you think? >> i think the overall sales. the reality in this country and probably others but if you forget your lunch for the day you may not go back for your lunch but i bet everybody goes back for their phone. technology is not going anywhere and top tiered market looks
>> it has to do a little bit with global economy. the problem is they are running out of rich people who can afford this phone globally. they got the market dominated. disposable income. what happens they have the u.s. market locked up. there is a lot of competition from samsung phones, but the other part of the globe is emerging markets. they are not laying out $700 for a phone through the plan like you do in america. european people can afford these phones but there is not going to be a...
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Jan 14, 2013
01/13
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to the economy. what we're not going to do is put ourselves in a position where in order to pay for spending that we've already incurred, that our two options are we're either going to profoundly hurt the economy and hurt middle-class families and hurt seniors and hurt kids who are trying to go to college, or alternatively we're going to blow up the economy. we're not going to do that. not whatever congress asks me they're going to have to send me something that's sensible. and we shouldn't be doing this, and we shouldn't be doing this on a one to three-month time frame. why would we do that? this is the united states of america, major. we can't manage our affairs in such a way that we pay our bills and we provide some certainty in terms of how we pay our bills? look, i don't think anybody would consider my position unreasonable here. i have -- [ inaudible ] major, i am happy to have a conversation about how we reduce our deficits. i'm not going to have a monthly or every three months conversation ab
to the economy. what we're not going to do is put ourselves in a position where in order to pay for spending that we've already incurred, that our two options are we're either going to profoundly hurt the economy and hurt middle-class families and hurt seniors and hurt kids who are trying to go to college, or alternatively we're going to blow up the economy. we're not going to do that. not whatever congress asks me they're going to have to send me something that's sensible. and we shouldn't be...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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to get the economy growing faster. >> would you be one? >> unlike the congress, the fed has done quite a lot and there isn't very much more the fed could do. i would certainly be with chairman bernanke. i was happy when they switched over, which is likely to have a bigger impact on the economy. the other thing i've been urging on the fed but they're not doing it is cut the interest rates by holding idle excess reserves in the hope that some of that will go into the economy. >> we have to leave it there, but thank you very much for your thoughts today. let's bring in don peebles of the peebles corporate. don, great to have you on the set today. >> good to be here. >> how does it play out? >> in the end it's a lot of drama about a profungtsry performance. the government needs to stand behind its credit. that's one of the benefits as a government, we get low rates because our credit is good. it's a shame we're spejd all this time. we spent much more than we take in. and we can't continue do that. we even done what we're going to do on the tax
to get the economy growing faster. >> would you be one? >> unlike the congress, the fed has done quite a lot and there isn't very much more the fed could do. i would certainly be with chairman bernanke. i was happy when they switched over, which is likely to have a bigger impact on the economy. the other thing i've been urging on the fed but they're not doing it is cut the interest rates by holding idle excess reserves in the hope that some of that will go into the economy. >>...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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. >> they will not collect a ransom in exchange for not crashing the american economy. the financial well-being of the american people is not leverage to be used. the full faith and credit of the united states of america is not a bargaining chip. >> reporter: republicans called the president hypocritical for saying he will not negotiate over the debt limit while blasting republicans for refusing to negotiate. and they fired back that the debate over the debt ceiling was the perfect time to consider legislation to cut spending. at the same time, only a handful of republicans have actually said they'd let the united states default on its bills. >> the president claims this, but republicans have always raised the debt ceiling. we've never seen the debt limit fail to be raised. all they have said is we want to apply the same criteria that the president himself applied when he was a senator and say we don't want to give the president a blank check. we would like to fix the substantive problem which is the level and the growth in the debt. >> reporter: markets are almost trea
. >> they will not collect a ransom in exchange for not crashing the american economy. the financial well-being of the american people is not leverage to be used. the full faith and credit of the united states of america is not a bargaining chip. >> reporter: republicans called the president hypocritical for saying he will not negotiate over the debt limit while blasting republicans for refusing to negotiate. and they fired back that the debate over the debt ceiling was the perfect...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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a lot of the conditions in the economy are slow. it spending is to the really that great. so i don't know if the estimates are that achievable. i also think that yeah, better risk/reward in other sectors in the market. we're trying to advise our clients how to outperform the s&p. i think there is better opportuniy. within tech there are some things we like where recommending suck stocks for example. i think that is one economically sensitive area that the stocks haven't participated that much in the rally. >> susie: let's talk about the areas that have been telling your clients, morgan stanley clients which direction to go. you have three big themes for your clients. buy stocks with from american companies with exposure to china, positive on china. buy dividend paying stocks and you like very large stocks, what you call megastocks. why are these the themes for you? >> well, look, for china i think we identified late last fall that the u.s. companies with china exposure had really lagged the broader market and had gotten quite cheap. and the china economy started to stabili
a lot of the conditions in the economy are slow. it spending is to the really that great. so i don't know if the estimates are that achievable. i also think that yeah, better risk/reward in other sectors in the market. we're trying to advise our clients how to outperform the s&p. i think there is better opportuniy. within tech there are some things we like where recommending suck stocks for example. i think that is one economically sensitive area that the stocks haven't participated that...
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Jan 19, 2013
01/13
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FBC
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the white house folks is saying that is the economy, stupid. it is percolating again. you say no? >> no. i think joe alluded to it. he touched upon it just now. many economists are talking about the fact that the worry is coming from corporations, both big and small businesses, not hiring, neil. that is because they can't trust this president to be an honest negotiator. so, we, you know the speaker of the house, and the minority leader, mitch mcconnell, gave the president what i call tax blood. he said, okay, we're going to give in. we'll let you raise taxes on the rich. which only will reyour trillion dollar deficit spending each year 5%, folks. so they gave them that. what does he come back with? we want more. i want more tax hikes which aren't going to do anything to calm the debt and the spending. he is not willing, and so i think back to what joe said. i think marco said this too. small business owners and large corporations can't trust the president. that's why they're sitting on top of all this cash and not hiring. that doesn't bode well. neil: marco, quickly you see nothin
the white house folks is saying that is the economy, stupid. it is percolating again. you say no? >> no. i think joe alluded to it. he touched upon it just now. many economists are talking about the fact that the worry is coming from corporations, both big and small businesses, not hiring, neil. that is because they can't trust this president to be an honest negotiator. so, we, you know the speaker of the house, and the minority leader, mitch mcconnell, gave the president what i call tax...
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Jan 14, 2013
01/13
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FBC
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it will damage our economy. the government is a big part of this economy. it is interesting, a lot of times you people who recognize that when it comes to defense spending. when it comes to that defense contract in their district, they think, wow, this is a pretty important part. let's just take sure we are not spending on those other folks. [inaudible question] >> you know, look, my hope is that common sense prevails. that is always my preference. i think that would be the preference of the american people and i think it would be good for the economy, let me just repeat, if the issue is deficit reduction, getting our deficits sustainable over ttme getting our debt in a sustainable place, then democrats and republicans will have a partner with me. we can achieve that and we can achieve it fairly quickly, we know what the numbers are and we know what needs to be done. we know what a balanced approach would take. there has probably been more pain and drama and getting there than we needed. finishing the job should not be that difficult. if everyone comes to t
it will damage our economy. the government is a big part of this economy. it is interesting, a lot of times you people who recognize that when it comes to defense spending. when it comes to that defense contract in their district, they think, wow, this is a pretty important part. let's just take sure we are not spending on those other folks. [inaudible question] >> you know, look, my hope is that common sense prevails. that is always my preference. i think that would be the preference of...
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Jan 18, 2013
01/13
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rowe price, we understand the connections of a complex, global economy. it's just one reason over 75% of our mutual funds beat their 10-year lipper average. t. rowe price. invest with confidence. request a prospectus or summary prospectus with investment information, risks, fees and expenses to read and consider carefully before investing. overmany discounts to thine customers! [old english accent] safe driver, multi-car, paid in full -- a most fulsome bounty indeed, lord jamie. thou cometh and we thy saveth! what are you doing? we doth offer so many discounts, we have some to spare. oh, you have any of those homeowners discounts? here we go. thank you. he took my shield, my lady. these are troubling times in the kingdom. more discounts than we knoweth what to do with. now that's progressive. >>> welcome back. a big change of heart on netflix. a top analyst who has been consistently bearish on netflix shares reversing course, now recommending buy it. meanwhile, another analyst looking at netflix this morning going the other way downgrading it to underweig
rowe price, we understand the connections of a complex, global economy. it's just one reason over 75% of our mutual funds beat their 10-year lipper average. t. rowe price. invest with confidence. request a prospectus or summary prospectus with investment information, risks, fees and expenses to read and consider carefully before investing. overmany discounts to thine customers! [old english accent] safe driver, multi-car, paid in full -- a most fulsome bounty indeed, lord jamie. thou cometh and...
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Jan 14, 2013
01/13
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. >> a self-inflicted wound on the economy. it would slow down our growth, might tip us into recession. and ironically, would probably increase our deficit. >> reporter: and it would, the president warned, delay checks for social security and veterans' benefits. the president also said he would soon ask lawmakers to create new gun laws in the wake of the newtown massacre. he will likely seek universal background checks, limit on high-capacity magazines and a ban on assault weapons. reporting live here from the newsroom, i'm bob redell. >> bob, thank you very much. >>> after nearly two months in the hospital, former president george h.w. bush has been discharged. nbc news learning doctors at methodist hospital in houston, texas releasing the 88-year-old bush just this morning. he was admitted november 23rd for treatment of a bronchitis-related cough. in december, the nation's 41st president spent a week in the hospital's intensive care unit for treatment of a persistent fever. no word so far whether the elder bush will return to
. >> a self-inflicted wound on the economy. it would slow down our growth, might tip us into recession. and ironically, would probably increase our deficit. >> reporter: and it would, the president warned, delay checks for social security and veterans' benefits. the president also said he would soon ask lawmakers to create new gun laws in the wake of the newtown massacre. he will likely seek universal background checks, limit on high-capacity magazines and a ban on assault weapons....
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Jan 17, 2013
01/13
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economy barely grew 1% in the fourth quarter. we have a situation where it could be sluggish in the first quarter. we're up five points on the s&p since december since we had qe3 and the fed indicating they would target unemployment. to us it feels like we're in the stratosphere. >> the market down 20%. isn't that recession you're talking about? >> you got to think there's a danger. doesn't have to be a recession. you have to think there's a danger. if you look at the dynamics, you look at the consumer confidence numbers which are beginning to roll a little bit, there is a danger that could take place and a lot will depend on the resolution. look at the vix and these low levels on this downward sloping trend line the pattern is very similar to april of 2011. i'm sure you all remember that the stock market held up a little bit longer and turned in may and then between may and august it dropped 22%. what was the biggest factor? the debt ceiling negotiations. >> tom the market really rolled over in the spring of 2011 because trichet
economy barely grew 1% in the fourth quarter. we have a situation where it could be sluggish in the first quarter. we're up five points on the s&p since december since we had qe3 and the fed indicating they would target unemployment. to us it feels like we're in the stratosphere. >> the market down 20%. isn't that recession you're talking about? >> you got to think there's a danger. doesn't have to be a recession. you have to think there's a danger. if you look at the dynamics,...
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Jan 16, 2013
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economy. the retail giant plans to hire more than 100,000 veterans over five years. wal-mart also says it'll buy $50 billion worth of american-made goods over ten years and help part-time workers who want more hours move to full time. >>> on wall streeshths stocks finished the day mixed. strong retail numbers boosd the dow, which rose by 27. nasdaq, though, lost six point way,ed down in large part by apple. the day was a dubous one for apple which closed below $500 a share for the first time in 11 months. apple is reportedly cutting its orders for iphone parts suggest sales are lacking. for the day apple dpe cliend about $15, more than 3%. >>> facebook took a page out of apple's play book today by inviting the media to a big announce. but as robert honda reports, the new product didn't quite live up to all the hype. >> news agencies from around the world came to facebook's mystery announcement today. founder and ceo mark suker burg unveiled graph search, an advanced search capability that will ultimately allow users to search the data base through their own friends'
economy. the retail giant plans to hire more than 100,000 veterans over five years. wal-mart also says it'll buy $50 billion worth of american-made goods over ten years and help part-time workers who want more hours move to full time. >>> on wall streeshths stocks finished the day mixed. strong retail numbers boosd the dow, which rose by 27. nasdaq, though, lost six point way,ed down in large part by apple. the day was a dubous one for apple which closed below $500 a share for the...
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Jan 21, 2013
01/13
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economy which means a lot to u.s. companies, but at the same time, the peso, if there is more pressure on that currency, what does that mean for us, do you think? >> so the peso has been pretty interesting because their central bank last week did a little bit of a 180 because they were expecting that they were going to be raising interest rates sometime here in 2013. and they kind of just pulled the rug out underneath it saying, you know, there's the potential that we might actually start to, you know, maybe reduce interest rates. [talking over each other] >> it was definitely something that caught participants by surprise, testing some previous 2012 lows there in terms of dollar mexico. it will be interesting to see if that trend continues. but mexico i think is a currency that we still want to be going into going forward. cheryl: one of the things we look on a daily basis during the market hours is what the euro is doing versus the dollar. always surprised me that the euro never went below like a $1.22 or so against
economy which means a lot to u.s. companies, but at the same time, the peso, if there is more pressure on that currency, what does that mean for us, do you think? >> so the peso has been pretty interesting because their central bank last week did a little bit of a 180 because they were expecting that they were going to be raising interest rates sometime here in 2013. and they kind of just pulled the rug out underneath it saying, you know, there's the potential that we might actually start...
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Jan 14, 2013
01/13
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economy which is still the biggest economy in the world, if you've got a weak economy, unfortunately, i know you are saying good economy, but some are saying we are going to have a weak economy in 2013, if that's the case, do i want to be high yield? does that make sense to you? >> yeah, it does because high yield you get paid a lot of different ways. high income, risk adjusted return. last year up over 15%. almost as much as equities, but you're still getting paid to take that risk to be in there. global bonds is a win-win-win. you get paid on yield. you get paid on -- for diversification. you get paid on currency risk. so that's a good place to be. and i'm not saying we're in armageddon on the equities side i do like mid caps, but what i think you need to be is make sure just trim back a little bit on equities, and i don't think it's the end of the world. but good economy part is the consumer. we like the consumer because the fed with the quantitative easing is bolstering the consumer through housing, and that's why i think for the consumers, for main street, it's going to feel good
economy which is still the biggest economy in the world, if you've got a weak economy, unfortunately, i know you are saying good economy, but some are saying we are going to have a weak economy in 2013, if that's the case, do i want to be high yield? does that make sense to you? >> yeah, it does because high yield you get paid a lot of different ways. high income, risk adjusted return. last year up over 15%. almost as much as equities, but you're still getting paid to take that risk to be...
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Jan 15, 2013
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debt as well as the global economy. according to rex macy it is. he thinks there's a good chance that risk fears will rise and, therefore, the market will pull back. will that be the moment for investors to get in. good to see you, gentlemen. thanks so much for joining us. what are you expecting in terms of this market 2013? >> sure. well, right now we're at 1472 on the s&p. we think it's going to go marginally higher from here, but it's not going to be a smooth ride. we've got a vix at 13 and change. that's too low. that's where the complacency comes from. you see it there. as we move into the debt ceiling debate, it can be far harder to solve than the taxes, we think the market can be down for a while, and before it comes back up. >> so you're looking for a decline, and perhaps that is an entry point for some. do you agree with that? >> i think any decline is an opportunity to buy, maria. i'm very, very bullish on u.s. equities and one of the main reasons i am the u.s. energy story which i think is a story that's not being told as well as it shou
debt as well as the global economy. according to rex macy it is. he thinks there's a good chance that risk fears will rise and, therefore, the market will pull back. will that be the moment for investors to get in. good to see you, gentlemen. thanks so much for joining us. what are you expecting in terms of this market 2013? >> sure. well, right now we're at 1472 on the s&p. we think it's going to go marginally higher from here, but it's not going to be a smooth ride. we've got a vix...
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Jan 16, 2013
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what do you think that tells us on where we are in the economy? >> look at numbers of the last week or two, retail production numbers for december, and they were actually pretty good. of course, the employment numbers we already know were soiled, and this is in a period where the uncertainty over the fiscal cliff was reaching a maximum. you know, maria, you think that's pretty encouraging that the economy has managed to cope with a high level of uncertainty. now the thing that kind of bothers me though is i'm a little bit worried that this coping is flipping over to complacency. the vix is now at a six-year low, and it tells me that the market is discounting 100% probability that we get through the debt ceiling without any trouble. that seems too high to me. >> so do you think the market is expecting that? i mean, when would you expect a big change in terms of the interest rate scenario? >> in terms of the interest rate scenario, probably nothing this year. i mean, we're at least a couple years away from a higher move -- a move higher in interest
what do you think that tells us on where we are in the economy? >> look at numbers of the last week or two, retail production numbers for december, and they were actually pretty good. of course, the employment numbers we already know were soiled, and this is in a period where the uncertainty over the fiscal cliff was reaching a maximum. you know, maria, you think that's pretty encouraging that the economy has managed to cope with a high level of uncertainty. now the thing that kind of...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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you know, the economy, you know, two steps forward, one step back, and corporate america can't carry the water. it will be difficult for the market, and priced pretty much to perfection at the current level with popular averages, not leaving room for disappointment. liz: hate one step forward, two back -- >> no, the other way. liz: either way, not moving fast. is that at a decent clip? >> actually, that's something we talked about last week on the show, and what we're looking at, again, south africa, right now, the mining situation is getting worse and worse, and -- liz: labor issues? >> the strikes, strikes, labor issues, and a threat that some of the major companies are shutting down the mines until they resolve this. we'll have a shortage in these areas, and, also, seeing platinum taking a bit of a piggy back ride up. it's at the 1680s mirroring where gold is now. silver is joining along for the ride. we're seeing a lot happening with the precious metals. liz: platinum is higher than gold for the first time in ten months. do you care? is that significant? it's 1682 against 1680, t
you know, the economy, you know, two steps forward, one step back, and corporate america can't carry the water. it will be difficult for the market, and priced pretty much to perfection at the current level with popular averages, not leaving room for disappointment. liz: hate one step forward, two back -- >> no, the other way. liz: either way, not moving fast. is that at a decent clip? >> actually, that's something we talked about last week on the show, and what we're looking at,...
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Jan 19, 2013
01/13
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rowe price, we understand the connections of a complex, global economy. it's just one reason over 75% of our mutual funds beat their 10-year lipper average. t. rowe price. invest with confidence. request a prospectus or summary prospectus with investment information, risks, fees and expenses to read and consider carefully before investing. neil: apple rotten to the core? that seems a bit extreme for a company that once could do no long wrong. now suddenly seems to do nothing right. the stock tumbled $200 a share from levels reached a few months ago when it seem to be the king all tech school. now a flash in the pan whose best days are behind it? is that fair, or overdone? liz macdonald, adam lashinsky. is apple no longer cool? does it come back to that? >> well it kind of is. i think issue when steve jobs died apple became visably vulnerable and samsung went after its image with a passion and hit. so the end result is this apple is not really being followed by any other vendors anymore. it is not standing alone anymore. the end result it is not as cool as
rowe price, we understand the connections of a complex, global economy. it's just one reason over 75% of our mutual funds beat their 10-year lipper average. t. rowe price. invest with confidence. request a prospectus or summary prospectus with investment information, risks, fees and expenses to read and consider carefully before investing. neil: apple rotten to the core? that seems a bit extreme for a company that once could do no long wrong. now suddenly seems to do nothing right. the stock...
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Jan 18, 2013
01/13
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don't forget how large that economy is relative to the world economies so i think the market has nothing but not green shoots but blossoming flowers. go buy it. >> so why then, doc, are you still more cautious than the other guys? >> partly because, judge, i like owning options instead of owning equities. i just do. the only times i like owning equities are like for instance when joe and i fight about stocks with nice yield. i mean whether it's a verizon or whether it is intel, if i'm talking about a 4% dividend yielder that i can get in there and write options against it as well and take it to double digits on the return i like that. but i don't like buying apple. i don't like buying a lot of the stocks that don't have the yield, judge, that are attractive to me. instead, i trade the options. >> speaking of verizon i'm glad you mentioned it. next week is a bonanza earnings week. there are so many important companies reporting next week that that is going to decide where this market goes. don't you think? >> yes. the expectations in terms of what the potential growth for eps and the pote
don't forget how large that economy is relative to the world economies so i think the market has nothing but not green shoots but blossoming flowers. go buy it. >> so why then, doc, are you still more cautious than the other guys? >> partly because, judge, i like owning options instead of owning equities. i just do. the only times i like owning equities are like for instance when joe and i fight about stocks with nice yield. i mean whether it's a verizon or whether it is intel, if...
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Jan 18, 2013
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can you not have a couple of people in one room who are going to get your economy right. you need to get the incentives right and need to have the information disbursed. let's talk about the bank regulation part first. i think a lot of what we saw was one a factor of who was on the fed. you had a bunch of academics as cramer mentioned earlier, didn't have that many people who knew about banking, a lot of information coming from wall street. investment banks look a lot different than commercial banks, a lot of different things going on in the sectors so you didn't even have people at the table who really had a sense of what was going on at the economy so i would feel much more comfortable if we take banking regulation and give it to the bank regulators because ultimately i think a lot of the bailouts were about the mistakes made the new york fed, mistakes made at the fed board and they were using bailouts to cover up their own mistakes. aig, all of these cdss were done because the bank approved of cds to create bank capital. they create that had mistake. we can argue wheth
can you not have a couple of people in one room who are going to get your economy right. you need to get the incentives right and need to have the information disbursed. let's talk about the bank regulation part first. i think a lot of what we saw was one a factor of who was on the fed. you had a bunch of academics as cramer mentioned earlier, didn't have that many people who knew about banking, a lot of information coming from wall street. investment banks look a lot different than commercial...
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Jan 16, 2013
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on because financials are a significant sector in the overall market, and they have the pulse on the economy, in terms of housing, mortgages, hiring, and we watch that trading activity in the last quarter. >> susie: and we'll have all of those numbers tomorrow. that's "nightly business report" for tonight, tuesday, jnuary 15. have a great evening, everyone. see you tomorrow, tom. have a great evening, everyone. and you, too, tom. >> tom: good night, susie. we'll see you online at www.nbr.com and back here tomorrow night. captioning sponsored by wpbt captioned by media access group at wgbh access.wgbh.org
on because financials are a significant sector in the overall market, and they have the pulse on the economy, in terms of housing, mortgages, hiring, and we watch that trading activity in the last quarter. >> susie: and we'll have all of those numbers tomorrow. that's "nightly business report" for tonight, tuesday, jnuary 15. have a great evening, everyone. see you tomorrow, tom. have a great evening, everyone. and you, too, tom. >> tom: good night, susie. we'll see you...
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Jan 16, 2013
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on because financials are a significant sector in the overall market, and they have the pulse on the economy, in terms of housing, mortgages, hiring, and we watch that trading activity in the last quarter. >> susie: and we'll have all of those numbers tomorrow. that's "nightly business report" for tonight, tuesday, january 15. have a great evening, everyone. see you tomorrow, tom. hae a great evenin everye. and you, too, tom. >> tom:ood night, susie. we'll see you online at www.nbr.com and back here tomorrow night. captioning sponsored by wpbt captioned by media access group at wgbh access.wgbh.org
on because financials are a significant sector in the overall market, and they have the pulse on the economy, in terms of housing, mortgages, hiring, and we watch that trading activity in the last quarter. >> susie: and we'll have all of those numbers tomorrow. that's "nightly business report" for tonight, tuesday, january 15. have a great evening, everyone. see you tomorrow, tom. hae a great evenin everye. and you, too, tom. >> tom:ood night, susie. we'll see you online...
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Jan 15, 2013
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the tailwind for housing recovery will provide for the banking sector for consumer confidence for our economy in general. we have to see financials do well kicking off tomorrow. david: we're going to talk the market just tomorrow about this, but is there any kind of move we could see a selloff springtime when a lot of people are saving their cash? >> that is so well advertised. everybody whereby short-term correction and to that point maybe people talking about the next of the 1425, the next resistance, going up to far too fast, but so well advertised. everybody knows what they are. still seems to be higher. everybody is thinking we will see a correction and that is probably why we will not see one. david: thank you very much. we will see you in a couple of minutes when the market closes. hang on for that. liz: let's bring in our panel for the market. let me begin with you. you are pretty bearish, but to say you're bearish is unfair to the viewers because the market is such a huge living, breathing creature. where are you most concerned and what do you like that doesn't scare you? >> we like
the tailwind for housing recovery will provide for the banking sector for consumer confidence for our economy in general. we have to see financials do well kicking off tomorrow. david: we're going to talk the market just tomorrow about this, but is there any kind of move we could see a selloff springtime when a lot of people are saving their cash? >> that is so well advertised. everybody whereby short-term correction and to that point maybe people talking about the next of the 1425, the...
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Jan 15, 2013
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chances are the economy is going to get better. wouldn't that make you want to buy stocks right now. >> it does. we're not -- we're actually a little bit more bullish, esespecially the first six months of the year. we still are expecting slow growth, commodities where we're shorting assets, but in terms of u.s. and in terms of international, we do expect growth, and we are excited about what's happening, but later on in the year i think it's going to be another story. >> what do you mean by that, later on in the year? what's going to be the upset later on in the year? >> there's a lot more issues coming out in terms of europe later in the year. right now it's all about -- it's all about expectations of positive growth that we have in the u.s., but, you know, we still have issues, and investors have got to focus on -- we've got an incredible spending problem. there's still problems in europe so we don't really believe that this year is going to be like last year, but we do expect small positive returns though. >> rick santelli, i wa
chances are the economy is going to get better. wouldn't that make you want to buy stocks right now. >> it does. we're not -- we're actually a little bit more bullish, esespecially the first six months of the year. we still are expecting slow growth, commodities where we're shorting assets, but in terms of u.s. and in terms of international, we do expect growth, and we are excited about what's happening, but later on in the year i think it's going to be another story. >> what do you...
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Jan 16, 2013
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on because financials are a significant sector in the overall market, and they have the pulse on the economy, in terms of housing, mortgages, hiring, and we watch that trading activity in the last quarter. >> susie: and we'll have all of those numbers tomorrow. that's "nightly business report" for tonight, tuesday, january 15. have a great evening, everyone. see you tomorrow, tom. have a great evening, everyone. and you, too, tom. >> tom: good night, susie. we'll see you online at www.nbr.com and back here tomorrow night. captioning sponsored by wpbt captioned by media access group at wgbh access.wgbh.org >>> tonight on "spark" -- we meet artists who fuse genres, cultures and modes of expression in ways that are surprising and provocative. in our first story, we'll check out the growing phenomenon of muslim hip-hop. >> home of the brave, land of the free, now this i still got to see. it's not what mainstream muslims really talk about. >> they're realizing that their kids are being influenced by rap music more than anything else, including them. >>> then -- we'll visit the west marin studio o
on because financials are a significant sector in the overall market, and they have the pulse on the economy, in terms of housing, mortgages, hiring, and we watch that trading activity in the last quarter. >> susie: and we'll have all of those numbers tomorrow. that's "nightly business report" for tonight, tuesday, january 15. have a great evening, everyone. see you tomorrow, tom. have a great evening, everyone. and you, too, tom. >> tom: good night, susie. we'll see you...
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Jan 15, 2013
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two indicators that say a lot about our economy. first off, a lot of people tapping into their 401(k)'s before retirement. billions of dollars being taken out to pay current bills. another one coming at the top of the hour, a number of working poor people growing. millions of families , but they're working at the same time. and that story new at 10 precisely. time is money, 30 seconds, here is what else we've got for you tuesday morning. president obama readying 19 on gun control. the judge will tell us about it. and lance armstrong finally admitting to doping, now he's come clean, is there any way his image can be rehabilitated. i say no way. and thanks to obamacare, the cost of your health insurance could go up as much as 50%. find out why you will be paying a whole lot more t all right, seven earlies, here we go on a tuesday morning. the circuit manufacturer, multi-fine line, less money coming in, the stock is down. retailer, goredman's never heard of them, but gordman's lowered its outlook. and radioshack ended its unprofitable
two indicators that say a lot about our economy. first off, a lot of people tapping into their 401(k)'s before retirement. billions of dollars being taken out to pay current bills. another one coming at the top of the hour, a number of working poor people growing. millions of families , but they're working at the same time. and that story new at 10 precisely. time is money, 30 seconds, here is what else we've got for you tuesday morning. president obama readying 19 on gun control. the judge...
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Jan 18, 2013
01/13
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the fed was unprepared with what happened to the broader economy. they were really behind the market playing catch up the entire time. that is what raises a lot of concerns about this very loose monetary policy. if the fed going to withdraw this stimulus in a popular fashion that we can avoid inflation. their track record is pretty dubious. cheryl: there are so many issues facing us, that is why it is alarming some of the comments especially from the bernanke. they're telling us they will keep interest rates low, but do we buy that at this point? one of the things that is really doing is helping the housing market. you're right, inflation comes in, and then what rush mark >> i don't think the we will have inflation immediately. the problem is when it comes, could come fast and once again the fed is playing catch-up with that. i don't think there's any risk of that happening in 2013 from the housing market, housing is improving and the fact mortgage rates have been so low i expect they will remain low in 2013, i think the 30-year fixed won't be an im
the fed was unprepared with what happened to the broader economy. they were really behind the market playing catch up the entire time. that is what raises a lot of concerns about this very loose monetary policy. if the fed going to withdraw this stimulus in a popular fashion that we can avoid inflation. their track record is pretty dubious. cheryl: there are so many issues facing us, that is why it is alarming some of the comments especially from the bernanke. they're telling us they will keep...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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the companies that moved so aggressively overseas stopped being dragged down by our sluggish economy. the move is in its infancy. they were left for dead in 2012 and are roaring back to life. i think they will gain steam as the wrangling in washington goes on for the rest of the year and beyond. fred in ohio, fred? >> caller: yes, jim. boo-yah. this is fred from ohio. it's a pleasure to talk to you. >> we loved ohio when we went out there last year to see massillon play some other ohio team. we were in that town. >> caller: i've been watching you from day one. >> thank you. >> caller: i want to know what do you expect from pepsi on the first quarter earnings and china and the association with burger king and marketing. what do you think of the first quarter earnings? >> i think the ceo is going to deliver a really, really good quarter. i think that stock -- its emphasis on emerging markets, it's going to do a great job. i would own pepsico going into the quarter. dino in california, dino? >> caller: jimmy. >> yo-yo. >> caller: happy new year. >> happy new year. >> caller: by the way,
the companies that moved so aggressively overseas stopped being dragged down by our sluggish economy. the move is in its infancy. they were left for dead in 2012 and are roaring back to life. i think they will gain steam as the wrangling in washington goes on for the rest of the year and beyond. fred in ohio, fred? >> caller: yes, jim. boo-yah. this is fred from ohio. it's a pleasure to talk to you. >> we loved ohio when we went out there last year to see massillon play some other...
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Jan 15, 2013
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economy is being under valued. $1.4 trillion is the run-up and i expect the u.s. to outperform again. >> joey? >> i think the u.s. continues to do well and the ultimate indicator is where volatility is. it's incredibly cheap and remains -- insurance can be provided to protect your portfolio. i don't think that the ultimate concerns that the people have. >> we've got news on germany and the german economy, gdp is contracting. it was down half of a percent. in 011 it was up 3% n 2012 it was up .7%. they are the engine for growth there. i'm not sure it's going to work out for you in the first half of the year. for europe, i don't think it's undervalued. it's had a great run into the u.s. >> two major banks report earnings tomorrow. much of the conversation that we're having today certainly directed to what is going on with the banks and what it could mean for the markets. jpmorgan, goldman, ahead of the market tomorrow. joe t., you take yours? >> my position has been goldman sachs, be morgan stanley. it's been that way for a long time. i like the marketplace here. i
economy is being under valued. $1.4 trillion is the run-up and i expect the u.s. to outperform again. >> joey? >> i think the u.s. continues to do well and the ultimate indicator is where volatility is. it's incredibly cheap and remains -- insurance can be provided to protect your portfolio. i don't think that the ultimate concerns that the people have. >> we've got news on germany and the german economy, gdp is contracting. it was down half of a percent. in 011 it was up 3% n...
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Jan 16, 2013
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the chinese economy is obviously a major and inner ene ener -- f iron ore. it looks that the fundamentals are in place for an aussie breakout. >> give us your levels, todd. >> sure. the australian dollar, technically speaking, is facing a breakout, 1.06. this is a range that's been in place for almost a year and a half. so, 1.06 is the entrillion on a weekly break. you want to take profit up around 110. >> all right, todd, thank you for that. todd gordon of aspen. and more money in motion every friday, 5:30 p.m. eastern time. tim, in terms of the iron ore, we saw big spikes in the price in fourth quarter in china. >> yeah, how about a vej mite sandwich, too? you have big chinese data coming out, but iron ore, goldman has that note out. watch that chart. >> let's play a little good, bad and ugly and tonight -- stars dan nay tan. first up, dan said to keep an eye on yahoo!. take a listen. >> the mighty goldman sachs reinitiated the stock with a buy of $22, 12-month price target. they say the sum of the parts is much greater. i actually agree. implied volatilit
the chinese economy is obviously a major and inner ene ener -- f iron ore. it looks that the fundamentals are in place for an aussie breakout. >> give us your levels, todd. >> sure. the australian dollar, technically speaking, is facing a breakout, 1.06. this is a range that's been in place for almost a year and a half. so, 1.06 is the entrillion on a weekly break. you want to take profit up around 110. >> all right, todd, thank you for that. todd gordon of aspen. and more...
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Jan 17, 2013
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is it possible the economy is better than we think. ? >> anyone who has been looking at this for the past three to six months recognizes we're in a very stable, not particularly dramatic, not overly sexy but clearly not disastrous economy. that doesn't raise all sorts of celebratory bells but in a world where people's predisposition is to look for a crisis and assume the worse, consistent okay is a whole lot better. none of these numbers that we've been talking about this let's say five, ten years ago would have struck us as particularly robust. retail sales up half of a percent over the holiday for the month. good number. not an incredible number but a whole lot better than everyone saying oh, this is terrible. >> i think we have the inflation chart. let me put the cpi up. the cpi is falling if i'm not mistaken. for all the talk by the inflationistas of the federal reserve's monetary policy which i basically disagree take a look at that. inflation is one of our problems. quick question. one of the leaders of this market, banks. financia
is it possible the economy is better than we think. ? >> anyone who has been looking at this for the past three to six months recognizes we're in a very stable, not particularly dramatic, not overly sexy but clearly not disastrous economy. that doesn't raise all sorts of celebratory bells but in a world where people's predisposition is to look for a crisis and assume the worse, consistent okay is a whole lot better. none of these numbers that we've been talking about this let's say five,...